> The trough is off Japan’s southwest Pacific coast and runs for approximately 900 km (600 miles), where the Philippine Sea Plate is subducting under the Eurasian Plate. The accumulating tectonic strains could result in a megaquake roughly once in 100 to 150 years
100-150 years are pretty tight band of time for something like this to happen.
This isn’t really news, it’s been known for awhile.
So when? Im trying to book a trip to japan ya kno
FTA:
>Japan is one of the world’s most earthquake-prone countries, and the government sees about an 80% chance of a magnitude 8 to 9 earthquake along a tremulous seabed zone known as the Nankai Trough.
when? there’s a big chance between an 80% chance in the next 12 months, and an 80% chance in the next century.
with rain storms for example you typically see stuff broken down into “1 year storm”, “10 year storm”, “100 year storm” etc. in terms of how frequently you see that level of rainfall.
What can be done?
I didn’t understand the article-what’s the timeline? Why could it cause 300k deaths? I think Japan can evacuate a lot of people to safe areas or even to other countries. Personally, I wouldn’t have a problem hosting a family of 2–3 people in Europe (Poland), but I’m sure it won’t be necessary.
Another fear mongering story that repeats the same stuff every 3 months. Been hearing this for over 20 years. It’s not wrong but it’s not news anymore.
Yes, some day it may happen as has been the case for the last 20 years or so. Fearmongering isn’t helping. But hey at least the journalist gets clicks
8 comments
> The trough is off Japan’s southwest Pacific coast and runs for approximately 900 km (600 miles), where the Philippine Sea Plate is subducting under the Eurasian Plate. The accumulating tectonic strains could result in a megaquake roughly once in 100 to 150 years
100-150 years are pretty tight band of time for something like this to happen.
This isn’t really news, it’s been known for awhile.
So when? Im trying to book a trip to japan ya kno
FTA:
>Japan is one of the world’s most earthquake-prone countries, and the government sees about an 80% chance of a magnitude 8 to 9 earthquake along a tremulous seabed zone known as the Nankai Trough.
when? there’s a big chance between an 80% chance in the next 12 months, and an 80% chance in the next century.
with rain storms for example you typically see stuff broken down into “1 year storm”, “10 year storm”, “100 year storm” etc. in terms of how frequently you see that level of rainfall.
What can be done?
I didn’t understand the article-what’s the timeline? Why could it cause 300k deaths? I think Japan can evacuate a lot of people to safe areas or even to other countries. Personally, I wouldn’t have a problem hosting a family of 2–3 people in Europe (Poland), but I’m sure it won’t be necessary.
Another fear mongering story that repeats the same stuff every 3 months. Been hearing this for over 20 years. It’s not wrong but it’s not news anymore.
Yes, some day it may happen as has been the case for the last 20 years or so. Fearmongering isn’t helping. But hey at least the journalist gets clicks