Gerald Curtis: Takaichi victory hastens LDP’s collapse; ‘not if, when’

by frozenpandaman

10 comments
  1. Her implosion will be swift and spectacular, just mark my words. She lacks a personality to work with other people, she is too confrontational and too prone to telling lies.

  2. She said she only wants “workhorses” for her cabinet so she does seem very “my way or the highway”. It will be interesting to see, she does have that unpleasant “we mustn’t tell lies Mr Potter” look in her face constantly though and it makes me feel uneasy.

  3. Not sure if we should take Curtis seriously.

    Curtis was academic advisor of Shinjiro Koizumi at Columbia.
    Prob he is still associated with Koizumi.

  4. If she’s dumb, she’ll go hardline conservative, losing Komeito, butting heads everywhere she goes, be unable to cooperate with the prefectural governments, visit Yasukuni to piss off China and Korea, and crash out fairly quickly.

    If she’s smart, she’ll be a pragmatist like Abe and aim to unite the party for a long and stable rule, with occasional wins for the nationalist cause.

    So far, touted cabinet picks suggest the former.

  5. The real question is what vegetable we should be monitoring.

    Cabbage is pretty popular in Japan, should work.

  6. The LDP were seriously alarmed at the emergence of the Sanseito and other right wing parties and so fielded their most right wing candidate, in order to pull back those voters who were considering going over to the dark side. The negative consequences of having a total nutter and Abe acolyte like Takaichi are preferable than risking someone like Koizumi actually losing to one of these parties and possibly casting the LDP into a dangerous tailspin. They had to retain power at all costs and Takaichi was the only one guaranteed to appeal to the voting block. It’s also good PR for Japan to have a female leader. Behind the scenes, Aso and his cronies are already being appointed to top positions, so expect more of the same but with a token female leader spewing right wing comments for a while until they work out who the next leader will be.

  7. >”If Japanese are not careful, they are going to end up like us, and I don’t wish that on anybody,” he said, alluding to President Donald Trump winning the presidency for a second time. “This country, and the party, is at a dead end. They have to find a new route, or it’s going to disappear.” Curtis mostly said that this could be Japan’s future in the coming days !

  8. I don’t see it. But clearly he’s been observing much longer and more deeply so maybe I only see the surface.

  9. Well who knows. She may pull off a Meloni and become a run of the mill centrist rather than a raging fascist.

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