2026 Japanese General Election – Exit Poll projected numbers

Party FPTP Seats (/279) PR Seats (/176)
Liberal Democratic Party 213-257 61-87
Centrist Reform Alliance 3-39 34-52
Japan Innovation Party 17-22 11-16
Democratic Party For The People 5-12 13-23
Japanese Communist Party 0-1 3-7
Reiwa Shinsengumi 0-1 0-2
Tax Cuts Japan Patriotic Alliance 0-2 0-1
Sanseito 0 5-14
Conservative Party of Japan 0 0-1
Social Democratic Party 0 0
Team Mirai 0 7-13
independents 3-8

Key takeaways:

  • LDP is the clear landslide winner; could win a 2/3 supermajority on their own.
  • CRA will be the biggest losers of the election, with seats expected to more than halve (mostly at the expense of former CDP politicians rather than Komeito). CDP founder Edano, CRA secretary-general Azumi, and infamous powerbroker Ozawa are expected to lose their seats.
  • DPP and Ishin hold their seats.
  • Sanseito make gains, but bittersweet for them as momentum has stalled.
  • Team Mirai enters Lower House for first time, overtaking all left wing parties.
  • Left wing parties stagnate and lose seats.
  • The Patriotic Alliance hang in at the expense of the Conservative Party.

https://news.web.nhk/newsweb/na/na-k10015046481000

by solar_powered_noob42