Japan tells its companies in Taiwan ‘you’re on your own’ if China invades

Japan tells its companies in Taiwan ‘you’re on your own’ if China invades

by Themetalin

13 comments
  1. So what is Japan going to do if;

    1. China invades Taiwan
    2. USA helps Taiwan ie starts war against China
    3. China attacks Kadena Air Base, and other US stuff in Japan

  2. Clickbait. Japan wants the private sector to handle the evacuation, they would slap a Nintendo sticker on the JSDF airplane and say “it ain’t a government operation, wasn’t us”

    Regardless this is bad for business because Japan wants the US to guarantee it’ll protect their assets as well, which in the current circumstances is unlikely

  3. There isnt anything Japan can do, they can only protect their islands that are close by

  4. There are all sorts of reasons why China will never attack Taiwan:

    1. It’s politically convenient for Taiwan to exist. It allows China a convenient scapegoat for a bunch of stuff, as well as being able to distract and control their right-wing nutters.

    2. It’s economically convenient. When trade restrictions get levelled on China they don’t on Taiwan. Ship that stuff to Taiwan, slap a new sticker on it, and Chinese businesses get to continue doing businesss… sometimes they don’t even bother shipping it to Taiwan. There are a thousand other economic reasons that Taiwan existing as a separate economic entity helps China.

    3. Taiwan’s value is in its infrastructure and people. What does war destroy? Infrastructure and people. China isn’t so stupid as to fight a war for an essentially worthless bit of rock. But what about territorial waters? China routinely violates these anyway, so that’s a non-issue.

    The bottom line is that Taiwan existing is more useful to China than Taiwan as another province.

    The real joke here is that if China wanted to take Taiwan it would be as simple as interrupting their food supply. Taiwan relies on foreign imports for about 65% to 70% of their food. While in theory Taiwan could last 3 to 7 months on food stockpiles (mostly rice) in reality a strategy of low-impact food shipment disruptions (enough to chip away at those stockpiles) for a couple of years would be insufficient to provoke an international response, but sufficient to highlight Taiwan’s food insecurity and shift public sentiment towards joining China, because the fastest way to people’s hearts is through their stomachs (something that the USA’s “hearts and minds” campaigns never quite grasped).

    A “war” against Taiwan would look nothing like most people imagine. It would be almost entirely economic. China would apply economic pressure to major food trading partners to stop trading with Taiwan, engage in cyberwarfare to misdirect, delay, or cancel food shipments, and if necessary the occassional ship with a major food shipment would be accussed of venturing into Chinese waters and be “detained” and the food seized.

    A year or two of this, costing a fraction of the cost of a traditional war, would have the Taiwanese public going, “Let’s just join China, I want some pork dumplings!!”.

  5. I am not sure what else they could say. A war with China would be dumb. They are a super power and the next leader of the world as the US spirals into the abyss

  6. That will never occur. China needs proxies like HK, Singapore and Taiwan for trading purposes with the world.

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